Simulating the Adoption of a Retail CBDC
Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik (JNS) published a paper by two Financial Network Analytics (FNA) staff that uses agent-based modelling to simulate retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) adoption, calibrated to Spain’s retail payment ecosystem. Results suggest that the distribution of government subsidies via CBDC creates incentives to reduce the use of cash. Also, reverse waterfall functionality (automatic transfer of funds from bank deposits to CBDC wallets) and a positive remuneration spread to bank deposits are effective in fostering adoption. However, the model did not model banks as adaptive decision makers that would include their ability to counter CBDC remuneration.