China’s Digital Currency Will Rise but Not Rule
For all the hype about its central bank digital currency (CBDC), China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) is a more important innovation because it makes it easier to use the renminbi for international transactions. Although China's CBDC may eventually be linked up to cross-border payments systems, this by itself will not elevate the renminbi's reserve currency status. However, the CIPS is able to bypass the Western-dominated SWIFT system for international payments and thus circumvent U.S. financial sanctions. Nevertheless, elevating the renminbi's reserve currency status will require more fundamental changes, like the continuation of financial markets reforms and the removal of capital flow restrictions.